Research

Market analysis from the desk, not from the echo chamber.

Weekly outlooks, event previews and market notes from the Ultimo research desk. For evergreen guides and trading education, see Resources.

Forex

How to Trade Non-Farm Payrolls Without Getting Whipsawed

NFP lands Friday 4 September with a Fed hike on the table. A playbook for EUR/USD, gold and US30 on payrolls day: sizing, timing, and what not to do.

Ultimo Market Desk · 4 September 2026

Metals

Fed Rate Hikes and Gold: What Actually Happens to XAU/USD

Gold near $4,300 with a September Fed hike ~70% priced. How real yields and the dollar move gold, and how to size XAU/USD into the decision.

Ultimo Research · 4 September 2026

Forex

USD/JPY at 160: How Intervention Risk Changes the Trade

USD/JPY is pressing 160 as US yields climb. What Japanese intervention looks like, when it works, and how to hold a yen position near a defended level.

Ultimo Market Desk · 4 September 2026

Energy

Trading Oil When Headlines Move Faster Than Charts

Brent above $92 on US–Iran tensions. How geopolitical risk is priced into crude, why Brent and WTI differ, and a risk framework for oil CFDs.

Ultimo Market Desk · 4 September 2026

Indices

Why Rising Bond Yields Hit the Nasdaq Harder Than the Dow

10-year yields near 4.8%, the highest since early 2025, are weighing on US stocks. Why growth feels it most, what a bond CFD is, and how NAS100 and US30 differ.

Ultimo Research · 4 September 2026

Market Outlook

How to Trade FOMC Day Without Getting Stopped Out

The 16 September Fed decision may be a hike. A trader's guide to FOMC day: the statement, the dot plot, the press conference, and where the traps are.

Ultimo Market Desk · 4 September 2026

Market Outlook

Gold Retreats on Overbought Signals; Bitcoin Extends ETF-Fueled Rally

Gold consolidates after its August surge while Bitcoin breaks through $78,000 on institutional demand and Treasury buyback-driven liquidity.

Ultimo Research · 28 August 2026

Market Outlook

Welcome to Ultimo Research

What to expect from this section: weekly outlooks, event previews and market notes from the Ultimo desk — plain-English, no noise.

Ultimo Research Desk · 26 August 2026