Which releases actually move the market?

For the instruments on this site: the Federal Reserve above all, because it prices the dollar and the dollar is one side of every pair here; then US inflation and payrolls, which move expectations of what the Fed will do; then each pair’s own central bank.

Why are there no forecast numbers?

Two reasons. The consensus figure is a survey somebody else compiles and sells, and printing an expected number next to a technical signal starts to look like a prediction rather than a schedule. What we can state as fact is when the release happens.

What time are these in my time zone?

Times are UTC. London is UTC+0 or +1 depending on the season, New York is UTC−5 or −4, and most US data lands at 12:30 UTC — half past eight in the morning in New York, and half past one in the afternoon in London.

Why does the Bank of Japan have no time?

It publishes when the meeting ends rather than at a fixed minute, usually late morning in Tokyo. The delay is itself read as a signal, so the yen often moves before the statement appears.

What happens to spreads around a release?

They widen, sometimes considerably, in the seconds either side. Orders can fill some distance from the price you clicked, and a stop can be filled past its level. This is normal market behaviour at those moments rather than a fault.

Should I trade the news?

It is the hardest condition to trade and the most expensive to get wrong, which is the opposite of how it is usually sold. Many experienced traders reduce size or stand aside around the releases on this page. Nothing here is a recommendation either way.

What is scheduled to move these markets

Rate decisions and data releases for the instruments we quote, taken from each institution’s own published schedule. No forecasts and no consensus numbers — the date and the time are the part that is useful, and the source is linked beside every entry.

TodayUS jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD
Payrolls, unemployment and wages in one release. Spreads widen sharply in the seconds around it.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
In 6 daysECB rate decision12:15 UTCEUR/USD
Governing Council monetary policy decision; the press conference half an hour later usually moves the euro more than the decision.
European Central Bank · official schedule
Next weekUS inflation (CPI)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
The single release most likely to reprice Fed expectations, and with them the dollar and gold.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
Next weekFOMC decision and projections18:00 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
Rate decision plus the updated projections — the meetings that move the dollar most, because the path matters more than the step.
Federal Reserve · official schedule
Next weekBoE rate decision11:00 UTCGBP/USD
Bank Rate decision, summary and minutes, including the vote split.
Bank of England · official schedule
18 SeptBoJ policy decisiontime not fixedUSD/JPY
Published when the meeting ends, normally late morning in Tokyo. The delay itself is read as a signal, so the yen can move before the text appears.
Bank of Japan · official schedule
2 OctUS jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD
Payrolls, unemployment and wages in one release. Spreads widen sharply in the seconds around it.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
14 OctUS inflation (CPI)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
The single release most likely to reprice Fed expectations, and with them the dollar and gold.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
28 OctFOMC decision18:00 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
Rate decision and statement, followed by the press conference.
Federal Reserve · official schedule
29 OctECB rate decision12:15 UTCEUR/USD
Governing Council monetary policy decision; the press conference half an hour later usually moves the euro more than the decision.
European Central Bank · official schedule
30 OctBoJ policy decisiontime not fixedUSD/JPY
Published when the meeting ends, normally late morning in Tokyo. The delay itself is read as a signal, so the yen can move before the text appears.
Bank of Japan · official schedule
5 NovBoE decision and Monetary Policy Report11:00 UTCGBP/USD
Bank Rate decision with the full forecast round — the bigger of the two kinds of MPC day for sterling.
Bank of England · official schedule
6 NovUS jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD
Payrolls, unemployment and wages in one release. Spreads widen sharply in the seconds around it.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
10 NovUS inflation (CPI)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
The single release most likely to reprice Fed expectations, and with them the dollar and gold.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
4 DecUS jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD
Payrolls, unemployment and wages in one release. Spreads widen sharply in the seconds around it.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
9 DecFOMC decision and projections18:00 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
Rate decision plus the updated projections — the meetings that move the dollar most, because the path matters more than the step.
Federal Reserve · official schedule
10 DecUS inflation (CPI)12:30 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
The single release most likely to reprice Fed expectations, and with them the dollar and gold.
Bureau of Labor Statistics · official schedule
17 DecBoE rate decision11:00 UTCGBP/USD
Bank Rate decision, summary and minutes, including the vote split.
Bank of England · official schedule
17 DecECB rate decision12:15 UTCEUR/USD
Governing Council monetary policy decision; the press conference half an hour later usually moves the euro more than the decision.
European Central Bank · official schedule
18 DecBoJ policy decisiontime not fixedUSD/JPY
Published when the meeting ends, normally late morning in Tokyo. The delay itself is read as a signal, so the yen can move before the text appears.
Bank of Japan · official schedule
22 JanBoJ policy decisiontime not fixedUSD/JPY
Published when the meeting ends, normally late morning in Tokyo. The delay itself is read as a signal, so the yen can move before the text appears.
Bank of Japan · official schedule
27 JanFOMC decision18:00 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
Rate decision and statement, followed by the press conference.
Federal Reserve · official schedule
4 FebBoE decision and Monetary Policy Report11:00 UTCGBP/USD
Bank Rate decision with the full forecast round — the bigger of the two kinds of MPC day for sterling.
Bank of England · official schedule
4 FebECB rate decision12:15 UTCEUR/USD
Governing Council monetary policy decision; the press conference half an hour later usually moves the euro more than the decision.
European Central Bank · official schedule
17 MarFOMC decision and projections18:00 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
Rate decision plus the updated projections — the meetings that move the dollar most, because the path matters more than the step.
Federal Reserve · official schedule
18 MarBoE rate decision11:00 UTCGBP/USD
Bank Rate decision, summary and minutes, including the vote split.
Bank of England · official schedule
18 MarECB rate decision12:15 UTCEUR/USD
Governing Council monetary policy decision; the press conference half an hour later usually moves the euro more than the decision.
European Central Bank · official schedule
18 MarBoJ policy decisiontime not fixedUSD/JPY
Published when the meeting ends, normally late morning in Tokyo. The delay itself is read as a signal, so the yen can move before the text appears.
Bank of Japan · official schedule
28 AprFOMC decision18:00 UTCEUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD · BTC/USD · ETH/USD
Rate decision and statement, followed by the press conference.
Federal Reserve · official schedule
28 AprBoJ policy decisiontime not fixedUSD/JPY
Published when the meeting ends, normally late morning in Tokyo. The delay itself is read as a signal, so the yen can move before the text appears.
Bank of Japan · official schedule

Calendar runs to December 2027. Times are the announcement time in UTC and are the institutions’ own; they occasionally move them, and the linked schedule is always the authority.

How to read a calendar without being led by it

A calendar tells you when uncertainty is scheduled. It does not tell you which way the price will go, and the way these pages are usually presented — a forecast, a previous value, an impact rating in red — quietly suggests otherwise.

What actually moves a price is the gap between the number and what was already expected, and the expectation is in the price before the release. This is why a strong figure can be followed by a fall: strong was already assumed, and the market had positioned for stronger.

The reliable use of a calendar is therefore defensive. It tells you when spreads will widen, when a stop is most likely to be filled somewhere other than where you put it, and when a position that has been quiet for a week is about to stop being quiet.

Our own hourly technical readings sit alongside this on the signals page, and the week of history behind them shows what those indicators did through the last set of releases.

Common questions

Which releases actually move the market?: For the instruments on this site: the Federal Reserve above all, because it prices the dollar and the dollar is one side of every pair here; then US inflation and payrolls, which move expectations of what the Fed will do; then each pair’s own central bank.
Why are there no forecast numbers?: Two reasons. The consensus figure is a survey somebody else compiles and sells, and printing an expected number next to a technical signal starts to look like a prediction rather than a schedule. What we can state as fact is when the release happens.
What time are these in my time zone?: Times are UTC. London is UTC+0 or +1 depending on the season, New York is UTC−5 or −4, and most US data lands at 12:30 UTC — half past eight in the morning in New York, and half past one in the afternoon in London.
Why does the Bank of Japan have no time?: It publishes when the meeting ends rather than at a fixed minute, usually late morning in Tokyo. The delay is itself read as a signal, so the yen often moves before the statement appears.
What happens to spreads around a release?: They widen, sometimes considerably, in the seconds either side. Orders can fill some distance from the price you clicked, and a stop can be filled past its level. This is normal market behaviour at those moments rather than a fault.
Should I trade the news?: It is the hardest condition to trade and the most expensive to get wrong, which is the opposite of how it is usually sold. Many experienced traders reduce size or stand aside around the releases on this page. Nothing here is a recommendation either way.

What is scheduled to move these markets

How to read a calendar without being led by it

Common questions

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